The trend is clear:
- Chadema’s support is much stronger among younger Tanzanians (33%) than older Tanzanians (14%)
- CCM’s support goes the other way: much stronger among over 50s (71%) than under 30s (47%)
One possible lesson from this would be that Chadema should do more to reach out to older voters. But if we remember that only 18% of Tanzanian adults are over 50, while 47% are under 30 (source: 2012 Census), perhaps they should just concentrate on the young.
Finally, a question for you:
The Afrobarometer data is a very rich source of possible analysis on public opinion. I could look at how support for different parties varies across a whole range of different factors – gender, urban/rural, level of education, employment status, etc. So what would you like me to look at?
Let me know in the comments below, or on Twitter (@mtega).