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Eve-of-poll monitoring data from CEMOT (Coalition on Election Monitoring and Observation in Tanzania)

CEMOT logo

The Coalition on Election Monitoring and Observation in Tanzania (CEMOT)* has a team of over 300 long-term and around 9,000 short-term election monitors based all over the country. The data below is mostly based on reports from the long-term observers, who have been in the field since mid-September, specifically reports from 301 observers in 229 constituencies submitted between September 25 and October 24, 2015.

1. Campaign meetings observed

241015 campaign meetings EN

241015 campaign meetings 2 EN

2. Voter education

241015 voter education EN

There has been a steady increase in voter education as the election approached.

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3. Participation of women and young people

241015 wagombea wanawake 2010 2015 EN

At this “rate of increase” in the proportion of female candidates, it will be 31 election cycles before there is gender equality. This is over 150 years!

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241015 wagombea wanawake by party EN

The largest group of female candidates comes from the smaller parties. Only 9% of CCM candidates and just 6% of Chadema candidates are female.

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241015 registered voters by gender EN 241015 registered voters by age group EN

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4. Gender discrimination during the campaign

These figures come from reports from 196 observers, from October 19-24:

241015 gender discrimination EN

There are few reports of gender discrimination during the campaign.

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5. Adherence to campaign rules by parties

241015 breaches of rules by parties EN

Reports of breaches of campaign rules by parties have remained steady during the monitoring period, perhaps with a slight drop in reports of vandalism of campaign materials.

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6. NEC preparedness

241015 NEC preparedness EN

The number of reports of key preparatory steps being observed has increased sharply in the final two weeks of the campaign period.

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Conclusions

Though there have been some challenges during the process, these reports show that the country is ready for election day. We call on all Tanzanians to make use of their right to vote, and we give our best wishes for the election.


 

* Disclosure: I am assisting CEMOT with data analysis

Revised timetable of meetings for CCM selection process

UPDATE: 10/7/15 – 9.30pm EAT

The CC meeting (which will produce the list of the final five aspirants) is still ongoing, several hours behind the schedule outlined below. As such, it’s been announced that the NEC meeting (which will reduce the list of five down to three) has been postponed until 10am tomorrow (July 11). The National Congress meeting (which will select the candidate) will also meet tomorrow, after NEC has finished.

Source: Mwananchi


#waiting

#waiting

CCM Secretary of Ideology and Propaganda, Nape Nnauye, has just announced a new timetable of meetings to select the party’s presidential candidate, after meetings that were supposed to be held over the past two days (July 8-9) did not take place. The new timetable squashes three meetings into a single day – today, July 10:

  • 10am-1pm: Security and Ethics Committee, chaired by President Kikwete
  • 2-6pm: Central Committee meeting to reduce the list of potential candidates to five
  • 8pm onwards: National Executive Committee meeting, to select three candidates to go forward to a meeting of the party’s 2,200-member National Congress, to be held tomorrow (July 11)

For other details of the process see this earlier post on the topic.

Nape explained that the previously announced timetable had to be changed due to the President’s other commitments this week – including speaking to parliament for three hours yesterday, among other things – and to allow time for preparatory meetings that would ensure that selection meetings can be held safely and a candidate chosen in peace.

The Zitto saga – collected articles part 3

See also previous posts collecting coverage from Friday, Saturday and SundayMonday and Tuesday, and with my own thoughts on the story.

Friday 29th November

Newspaper articles:

Coverage dropping fast, though still on some front pages, if only indirectly in most cases. Many of these articles focus on a related case Zitto has lodged with the police against some of his party colleagues, which links to death threats against him and the publication of a document laden with accusations (many potentially libellous) against Zitto Kabwe, a couple of weeks before his sacking from party posts.

Mwananchi: Baregu aitahadharisha Chadema kuhusu Zitto

Nipashe: Polisi wajitosa sakata la Zitto

Daily News: Debate on Zitto demotion closed, says Chadema
HabariLeo: Mpasuko Chadema sasa kamati kuu

Tanzania Daima: Zitto azua balaa

Majira: Madai ya Zitto yachunguzwa

The most interesting of these is the reporting of Prof Baregu’s remarks in Mwananchi. Here’s a direct quote from Baregu:

“Tuhuma zinazotolewa dhidi ya Zitto na wenzake kwamba wamenunuliwa na chama fulani cha siasa zinahitaji maelezo na vielelezo vya kina ili kuwaaminisha wengi. Nasema hivi kwa sababu historia yao inadhihirisha kuwa wana uchungu na chama chao. Chama kinachoongozwa kwa demokrasia na kinachotarajiwa kushika madaraka ya kuongoza nchi, lazima kionyeshe uwezo mkubwa wa kuvumiliana, kutafakari, kusamehe, kuaminiana na kujenga umoja wenye lengo la kuelekea kusudio lake.” Continue reading