Tanzania’s freedom rating has dropped. The latest annual report by Freedom House on political rights and civil liberties around the world showed that Tanzania’s score dropped from 3.0 to 3.5. It’s may sound like only a small change, but the scale of these ratings only goes from 1 to 7. (1 is the most free, 7 is the least.) More significantly, it is the first time Tanzania’s rating has dropped for over 20 years.
This chart shows Tanzania’s rating for each year since 1994, just as multi-party democracy was being reintroduced. Continue reading →
Two weeks ago, my colleagues and I at Twaweza launched our latest political opinion poll for Tanzania – including the perhaps surprising headline finding that at the start of the campaign period, CCM presidential candidate, John Magufuli had a strong lead over the Chadema / Ukawa candidate, Edward Lowassa. In case anyone hasn’t seen the poll findings (where have you been?), support for Magufuli was found to be 65%, while support for Lowassa was 25%, and Magufuli had a lead across all groups – urban, rural, male, female, all ages, all education levels:
I must also remind readers that this data comes from a nationally representative sample of 1,848 respondents from all regions of mainland Tanzania. It is not a prediction of the election results: a lot can happen between the time the data was collected and election day at the end of the month. The only poll that really counts in the one that takes place on October 25th. However, my main purpose here is simply to gather together a variety of media reactions to this poll and others published around the same time (e.g. Ipsos, TADIP). Continue reading →
The big news story in Tanzania over the weekend was the nomination of John Pombe Magufuli as CCM presidential candidate, including the dramatic exclusion of Edward Lowassa from the final five. The Magufuli announcement came around midday on Sunday, so didn’t make the papers until this morning. So, with a bit of help from @millardayo, how did they cover it?
1. The more serious Swahili papers: (click on an individual image to enlarge)
Last month I posted an early selection of cartoons on the CCM presidential nomination process. Since then, there has been a mountain of new cartoons. For simplicity and space, I have grouped them in galleries this time, under eight headings: Continue reading →
Aspiring CCM presidential candidate, Ambassador Amina Salum Ally, was quoted in Habari Leo yesterday on the role of money in securing the signatures of party members in the regions:
“What surprises me is the practice of being asked for money in order to sign nomination forms. I’ve been in the party more than 30 years and this pains me greatly. In the past you did not have to pay but now without money you won’t get the signatures.“*
The task of the former Prime Minister, Frederick Sumaye, of collecting signatures on his nomination forms almost met with trouble after party members wanted to tear up the forms with their names on, claiming that they hadn’t been given “nauli” [bus fare] to go to the CCM office for this exercise.**
The suggestion on the RaiaMwema front page back in February that CCM could be lining up retired Chief Justice, Augustino Ramadhani for the presidency came out of the blue. It seemed to be based on nothing more than the logic that having had a Muslim president (President Kikwete), it’s the turn of a Christian, and having had two consecutive presidents from the mainland (Kikwete and Mkapa), it’s the turn of a Zanzibari. There aren’t many Zanzibari Christians – possibly as few as 25,000 – and Augustino Ramadhani fits the bill. Continue reading →